Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 49.229625 56.327903 63.696536 71.885670 80.701492 89.877476 100.121289
2024-10-27 36.849704 46.581304 57.274516 69.765069 83.828287 99.055983 116.675731
2024-11-03 32.207187 43.690042 56.809702 72.639204 90.965174 111.281518 135.278556
2024-11-10 28.241823 40.882597 55.840368 74.399140 96.389825 121.238980 151.072672
2024-11-17 23.771106 36.857424 52.912590 73.393734 98.211644 126.763416 161.561096
2024-11-24 20.089778 33.370488 50.250662 72.354860 99.693757 131.654603 171.123861
2024-12-01 17.501926 31.010732 48.745468 72.511630 102.428870 137.880538 182.142165
2024-12-08 15.319881 28.951954 47.422351 72.720493 105.088225 143.916857 192.870644
2024-12-15 13.609170 27.368729 46.574787 73.410640 108.248810 150.494435 204.210610
2024-12-22 11.609713 25.120467 44.634786 72.513718 109.283931 154.391289 212.264723
2024-12-29 10.498423 24.121602 44.344237 73.738238 112.977461 161.533699 224.250025
2025-01-05 9.598372 23.359631 44.318449 75.267383 117.033290 169.116856 236.786698
2025-01-12 8.169282 21.555242 42.672339 74.517543 118.107111 173.009323 244.880695
2025-01-19 6.629866 19.330984 40.228757 72.517259 117.426970 174.621929 250.117216
2025-01-26 6.328236 19.366370 41.248616 75.436404 123.332070 184.631378 265.840643
2025-02-02 5.827790 18.948785 41.513130 77.241676 127.727040 192.717772 279.187511
2025-02-09 4.854272 17.424363 39.892922 76.211920 128.203724 195.720647 286.127205
2025-02-16 4.002069 15.993644 38.311975 75.148350 128.564547 198.525725 292.786819
2025-02-23 3.441162 15.109604 37.581123 75.308855 130.587121 203.479807 302.171082
2025-03-02 2.952789 14.299733 36.915249 75.522706 132.655553 208.481358 311.618295
2025-03-09 2.580895 13.707693 36.588394 76.229290 135.403055 214.376898 322.222295
2025-03-16 2.072923 12.612932 35.265025 75.310994 135.792807 217.115304 328.752696
2025-03-23 1.846351 12.276581 35.321063 76.564670 139.293492 224.010835 340.669659